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Donald Trump is leading Kamala Harris by just one point among men, according to a new poll.
The survey, conducted by Outward Intelligence between August 11 and 15, shows that 46 percent of men back Trump compared to Harris’ 45 percent.
Among women, Harris was 13 points ahead, on 53 percent to Trump’s 40 percent.
The poll surveyed 1,858 likely voters and had a margin of error of +/- 2.3 percent.
Newsweek has contacted the Trump campaign for comment via email.
The figures may come as a surprise to the Trump campaign, which has in general been way ahead of Harris among men.
For example, the latest New York Times and Siena College poll, conducted between August 5 and 9 among 1,973 likely voters in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, showed Trump with a 14 point lead over Harris among men, on 52 percent to her 39 percent.
Among women, Harris had a 21 point lead, with 56 percent to Trump’s 35 percent.
Polls have also shown Trump with a lead among men on a national level, including the latest nationwide New York Times and Siena College poll, conducted between July 22 and 24, which showed Trump with a 17-point lead among men, with 56 percent to his opponent’s 39 percent.
Among women, Harris lead by 14 points, with 55 percent to Trump’s 41 percent. The poll surveyed 1,142 likely voters and had a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points
However, other recent polls have shown Harris eating into Trump’s lead among men. The latest ActiVote poll, conducted between August 7 and 14, showed Trump with a 10 point lead among men, while Harris had a 13 point lead among women.
The latest polls by The Economist and YouGov and the Pew Research Center, conducted between August 5 and 13, showed Trump with an even smaller lead of just 5 points among men, while Harris had a lead of between 8 and 9 points among women.
Men have generally been more likely than women to lean toward the Republicans. In 2016, Trump won men by 11 points, while Hillary Clinton won women by 15 points, according to the Pew Research Center. But, 2021 Gallup Poll data analyzed by the Survey Center on American Life showed that 44 percent of women ages 18 to 29 identified as liberal compared to 25 percent of men.
However, the 2020 election saw the Democrats make gains among men who were evenly divided among Trump and Biden, according to Pew. Meanwhile, Trump won a slightly larger share of women’s votes, winning 44 percent.
Experts have predicted that the Democrats could make gains among men again this year, especially now that Minnesota Governor, a former football coach who served in the military, is on the ticket.
Walz “has many of the credentials of a traditional man,” and this will help the Democrats reach out to white men, Jackson Katz, Ph.D., an author and expert on gender violence prevention education, told Newsweek, adding that Walz “punctures” the idea for Republicans that “real men” vote GOP.
But, even before Walz was on the ticket, Harris was getting support from men, with more than 180,000 people showing up to a “White Dudes for Harris” Zoom call in July. The group has raised $4million for Harris’ campaign, according to organizers.
Group organizer Mark Greene, an author who writes about masculinity, said in the event description that the group aims to support Harris’ bid, countering the Republican Party, which he said represents a culture that “has positioned white men at the top of a bullying and rigid dominance-based culture of masculinity.”